Lazio (K) 5-0 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
2.52/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.22
-46% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
30.0 Crosses 7.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
276 Passes 199
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
11.01.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
06.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
5-0
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.81 xG 1.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
251 Passes 145
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sassuolo (K) 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 61% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 39%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.81 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lazio (K) and 1.67 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Lazio (K) 5-0 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 45%, draw 26%, Sassuolo (K) 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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