Union Espanola 0-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.45
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.0 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cobresal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-1 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
26.02.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
09.12.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.05.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.10.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.04.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-2 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
0-1
AWAY Cobresal
1.07 xG 1.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
365 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal edged past Union Espanola 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Union Espanola at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 58% of the ball to Cobresal's 42%, shots finished 25-20, expected goals 1.07 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Cobresal?

Union Espanola 0-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 48%, draw 26%, Cobresal 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Espanola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
3 May 2025
19:30 CD Everton vs Palestino Analysis →
23:00 Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica Analysis →