Universidad Chile 1-0 U. Catolica — Result, Stats & Model Review (Chile - Premier League, 3 May 2025)

Universidad Chile

1-0 HT 0-0

U. Catolica

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗

Chile - Premier League – 2026

Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

52%

1.75

Draw

20%

3.54

Away

28%

4.04

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

1.82

Over 2.5

47%

1.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%

1.85

56%

1.85

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

30%

2-3 Goals

39%

4-5 Goals

22%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

30%

1/2

1/X

X/1

15%

X/2

11%

X/X

2/1

2/2

13%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

52%

Home Win

53%

-1.5pp

20%

Draw

25%

-4.9pp

28%

Away Win

22%

+6.4pp

53%

Under 2.5

51%

+1.3pp

47%

Over 2.5

49%

-1.3pp

44%

BTTS Yes

50%

-5.5pp

56%

BTTS No

50%

+5.5pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universidad Chile v U. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 57%

Head to Head

AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 25%

-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%

1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.23

-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%

52% Ball Possession 48%

15 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 4

309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%

23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0

24.2 Crosses 15.1

2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Universidad Chile

3W-1D-2L

AWAY U. Catolica

2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00

1.14 xG 0.69

37% Ball Possession 63%

13 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Target 3

4 Corners 3

210 Passes 407

71% Pass Accuracy 81%

14 Box Touches 12

17 Crosses 16

3 Yellow Cards 4

The Meetings

19.05.2024 Universidad Chile

1-2 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL

11.11.2023 U. Catolica 1-3 HT 0-2

Universidad Chile ŞİL

29.06.2023 Universidad Chile

3-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL

30.04.2023 Universidad Chile

3-0 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL

14.10.2022 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-1

Universidad Chile ŞİLİK

28.09.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0

Universidad Chile ŞİLİK

Universidad Chile 1-0 U. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Universidad Chile

1-0

AWAY U. Catolica

1.08 xG 0.19

63% Ball Possession 37%

15 Total Shots 6

3 Shots on Target 0

5 Corners 0

375 Passes 187

81% Pass Accuracy 68%

15 Box Touches 4

27 Crosses 10

2 Yellow Cards 3

POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over U. Catolica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 63% of the ball to U. Catolica's 37%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.08 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica?

Universidad Chile 1-0 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 52%, draw 20%, U. Catolica 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No

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