Union Santa Fe 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 May 2025

Union Santa Fe
1-1 HT 1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 35% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.3
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
12%
6.46
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Belgrano Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.10
-8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
26.4 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.64 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
210 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
07.04.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-2 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
13.11.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
09.04.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-3 HT 0-2 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
27.01.2019 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
01.12.2017 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ

Union Santa Fe 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.39 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe and Belgrano Cordoba shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Union Santa Fe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 48% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 52%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.83 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Union Santa Fe 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 31%, Belgrano Cordoba 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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