Union Santa Fe 1-2 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Union Santa Fe
1-2 HT 1-2
Belgrano Cordoba
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2023/2024

Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
9%
3.66
X/2
10%
9.39
X/X
20%
4.04
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
13%
8.52
2/X
6%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Belgrano Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.51
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
27.1 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.60 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 271
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 4-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
09.04.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-3 HT 0-2 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
27.01.2019 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
01.12.2017 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
25.09.2016 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
04.05.2015 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ

Union Santa Fe 1-2 Belgrano Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-2
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.00 xG 2.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
216 Passes 181
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 24
45 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba squeezed past Union Santa Fe 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Belgrano Cordoba made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 54% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.00 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Belgrano Cordoba's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.83 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Union Santa Fe 1-2 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 40%, draw 31%, Belgrano Cordoba 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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