San Lorenzo 0-2 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

San Lorenzo
0-2 HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.88
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.0
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
10%
5.28
X/X
13%
3.56
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.31
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.0 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJK
12.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
08.05.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
06.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
22.02.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-4 HT 0-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
26.09.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-1 HT 2-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

San Lorenzo 0-2 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
0-2
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.47 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
248 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia got the better of San Lorenzo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 46% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.47 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia?

San Lorenzo 0-2 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 36%, draw 32%, Defensa y Justicia 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Lorenzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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