Barracas Central 3-2 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.18
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
14%
5.32
X/2
12%
5.12
X/X
13%
3.66
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.96
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 39%
+20% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.87
+29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.9 Crosses 21.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
209 Passes 260
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
05.05.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 3-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.09.2021 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJPBN
15.05.2021 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
3-2
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
0.94 xG 3.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
221 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central squeezed past Instituto Cordoba 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barracas Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barracas Central had 41% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 59%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.94 to 3.13 — on chances, Instituto Cordoba could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barracas Central and 0.50 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Barracas Central 3-2 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 35%, draw 28%, Instituto Cordoba 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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