Glenorchy Knights 1-5 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.42/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.48
-34% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Launceston City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 5-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
01.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
23.03.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 0-4 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
05.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 HT 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
03.06.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
25.03.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City ran out comfortable winners over Glenorchy Knights 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Glenorchy Knights at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 1.00 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City?

Glenorchy Knights 1-5 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 49%, draw 30%, Launceston City 22%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Glenorchy Knights), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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