Glenorchy Knights 5-2 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
3.34/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.38
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Launceston City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
23.03.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 0-4 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
05.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 HT 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
03.06.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
25.03.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
27.08.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights swept aside Launceston City 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glenorchy Knights as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 0.83 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City?

Glenorchy Knights 5-2 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 59%, draw 19%, Launceston City 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenorchy Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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