NWS Spirit 4-2 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.61/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Manly United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.04.2024 Manly United Manly United 3-2 HT 2-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
01.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-2 HT 0-2 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
18.03.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit saw off Manly United 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manly United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.00 for Manly United.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Manly United?

NWS Spirit 4-2 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 41%, draw 28%, Manly United 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ BTTS Yes
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