NE MetroStars 0-4 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 28%
-24% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.76/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.73
-17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
08.07.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
21.04.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
25.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
21.08.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.06.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City cruised past NE MetroStars 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NE MetroStars and 0.83 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City?

NE MetroStars 0-4 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 46%, draw 21%, Adelaide City 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5
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