Adelaide City 2-2 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.73/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.65
+26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +85%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY NE MetroStars
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
21.04.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
25.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
21.08.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.06.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-1 HT 0-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
24.10.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-2 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City and NE MetroStars shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Adelaide City and 1.33 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars?

Adelaide City 2-2 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 25%, draw 24%, NE MetroStars 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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