Melbourne Knights 3-3 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.70
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.1 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 0.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 386
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.04.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-2 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
05.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.04.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 2-2 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
17.08.2014 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 4-3 HT 4-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
31.05.2014 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights and Green Gully shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully?

Melbourne Knights 3-3 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 39%, draw 28%, Green Gully 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5
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