Dandenong City 1-3 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.47/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.03
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +72%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses 15.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.44 xG 2.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
284 Passes 220
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 5-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
23.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-6 HT 0-3 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
25.06.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 4-3 HT 3-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
28.03.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-1 HT 2-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United saw off Dandenong City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dandenong City and 4.00 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Heidelberg United?

Dandenong City 1-3 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 29%, draw 21%, Heidelberg United 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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