NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.86/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.42
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.84
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
11.05.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
16.07.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
01.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 5-4 HT 1-2 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit edged past Wollongong Wolves 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.50 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves?

NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 44%, draw 26%, Wollongong Wolves 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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