NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 52%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.26/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.69
-30% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.06 xG 1.84
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
01.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 5-4 HT 1-2 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit edged past Wollongong Wolves 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wollongong Wolves at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for NWS Spirit and 3.00 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves?

NWS Spirit 1-0 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 31%, draw 25%, Wollongong Wolves 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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