Swarovski Tirol 1-3 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 May 2025

Swarovski Tirol
1-3 HT 0-0
LASK Linz
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.45
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
9%
8.54
X/2
16%
4.49
X/X
13%
5.44
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.39
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.35/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.01
+15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
16.1 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0W-1D-5L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 2.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
233 Passes 413
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
09.03.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
20.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
25.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.08.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.03.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

Swarovski Tirol 1-3 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-3
AWAY LASK Linz
1.07 xG 2.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 449
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz saw off Swarovski Tirol 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 42% of the ball to LASK Linz's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.07 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.83 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Swarovski Tirol 1-3 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 24%, draw 28%, LASK Linz 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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