LASK Linz 2-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2025

LASK Linz
2-1 HT 1-1
Swarovski Tirol
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.9
X/1
18%
3.81
X/2
11%
12.3
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
8%
10.75
2/X
6%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.78/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.99
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.5 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
394 Passes 214
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
25.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.08.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.03.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.09.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-4 HT 1-3 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.05.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-1 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

LASK Linz 2-1 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-1
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.83 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
428 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 13
45 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Swarovski Tirol 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, LASK Linz had 61% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 39%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 2.83 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LASK Linz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LASK Linz and 1.67 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

LASK Linz 2-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 51%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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