Hartberg 2-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2025

Hartberg
2-1 HT 0-0
Rapid Wien
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hartberg vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.25
1/2
10%
22.1
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
11%
8.36
X/2
14%
4.46
X/X
11%
5.28
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.39
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.17/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.97
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.2 Crosses 18.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hartberg vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
295 Passes 357
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
31.03.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-2 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
11.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.11.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Hartberg 2-1 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.83 xG 0.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
223 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg edged past Rapid Wien 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hartberg had 39% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 61%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartberg and 1.17 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Hartberg 2-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 29%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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