LASK Linz 2-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.18
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
8%
9.86
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
14%
8.04
2/X
9%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.65/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.76
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.2 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.16 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
393 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
20.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
25.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
19.08.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.03.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.09.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-4 HT 1-3 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.04 xG 0.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
496 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz beat Swarovski Tirol 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 64% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 36%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.04 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for LASK Linz and 1.50 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

LASK Linz 2-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 47%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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