Sao Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 May 2025

Sao Paulo
0-0 HT 0-0
Fortaleza
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
5.6
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.56
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
21%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.79
X/X
13%
3.78
2/1
13%
32.0
2/2
10%
7.97
2/X
6%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Paulo v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.26/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.47
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.1 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
463 Passes 221
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
14.04.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
21.09.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
12.05.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
28.08.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
09.05.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Sao Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
0-0
AWAY Fortaleza
1.85 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 13
356 Passes 265
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo and Fortaleza fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 54% of the ball to Fortaleza's 46%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.85 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.17 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza?

Sao Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 49%, draw 26%, Fortaleza 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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