Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza nicked a narrow win over Sao Paulo 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Fortaleza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 37% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 63%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 0.67 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo?
Fortaleza 1-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 38%, draw 34%, Sao Paulo 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.