Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
22%
3.39
X/2
10%
18.75
X/X
8%
6.71
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
7%
15.8
2/X
7%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.90/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.78
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
22.2 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
423 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
31.07.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 4-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
10.04.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
10.12.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
06.11.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
15.11.2020 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.29 xG 0.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
434 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo beat Atletico Goianiense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Flamengo had 53% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 47%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Atletico Goianiense?

Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 56%, draw 21%, Atletico Goianiense 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ BTTS No
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