Juventude 1-2 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.18/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.00
-6% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
286 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
30.09.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
08.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
05.09.2018 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
16.05.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
13.09.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-2
AWAY Criciuma
0.47 xG 1.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
408 Passes 271
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Juventude 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Criciuma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 58% of the ball to Criciuma's 42%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.47 to 1.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Criciuma's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Juventude and 0.50 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Criciuma?

Juventude 1-2 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventude 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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