Criciuma 1-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Apr 2024

Criciuma
1-1 HT 1-0
Juventude
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.84
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
18%
4.27
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
8%
3.53
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.84
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.76
-43% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
– Crosses 15.3
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Criciuma vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventude
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.74 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
288 Passes 271
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
08.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
05.09.2018 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
16.05.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
13.09.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR2
07.06.2017 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2

Criciuma 1-1 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
1-1
AWAY Juventude
0.71 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
340 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma and Juventude couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Criciuma had 47% of the ball to Juventude's 53%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.71 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Criciuma and 0.83 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Juventude?

Criciuma 1-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 48%, draw 25%, Juventude 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Criciuma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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