Atletico Paranaense 4-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Apr 2024

Atletico Paranaense
4-0 HT 3-0
Cuiaba
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 36% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
15%
3.56
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
9.86
2/X
8%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Paranaense v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +27%
1.68/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.20
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
386 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.08.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
19.09.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 2-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.05.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
04.12.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
16.08.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1

Atletico Paranaense 4-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4-0
AWAY Cuiaba
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
512 Passes 309
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense ran out comfortable winners over Cuiaba 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 62% of the ball to Cuiaba's 38%, shots finished 20-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba?

Atletico Paranaense 4-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 48%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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