Internacional 2-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.09
X/2
7%
7.86
X/X
17%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.42
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.47
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.0 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
28.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
26.09.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
14.06.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
27.12.2020 Bahia Bahia 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.09.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-1
AWAY Bahia
1.89 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
440 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past Bahia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 53% of the ball to Bahia's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Internacional and 0.67 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Bahia?

Internacional 2-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Internacional 43%, draw 31%, Bahia 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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