KPV Kokkola 1-0 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.08
2-3 Goals
33%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.70/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.58
-64% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
2W-0D-0L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
27.07.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-2 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN3
18.05.2024 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola nicked a narrow win over KuPS Ak. 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KPV Kokkola as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KPV Kokkola had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KPV Kokkola and 0.50 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

KPV Kokkola 1-0 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a KPV Kokkola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 49%, draw 24%, KuPS Ak. 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KPV Kokkola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KPV Kokkola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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