Chabab Ben Guerir 1-3 Racing De Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
27%
2.63
Away
37%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.13
No
72%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
35%
-7.9pp
38%
Away Win
21%
+16.5pp
28%
BTTS Yes
43%
-14.7pp
72%
BTTS No
57%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
0.86/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
-33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
392 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 165 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Racing De Casablanca
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 2
30.12.2024 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 3-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
09.02.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
02.09.2023 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
10.06.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FAS2
27.12.2022 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing De Casablanca beat Chabab Ben Guerir 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Racing De Casablanca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Racing De Casablanca led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 1.00 for Racing De Casablanca.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-3 Racing De Casablanca in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Racing De Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing De Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 36%, draw 27%, Racing De Casablanca 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing De Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing De Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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