Daegu 3-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.1
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
14%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.49
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.53
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.1
Value flag · 2/X at 13.1 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 28.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 403
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
14.09.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-4 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
16.06.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
26.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
07.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-1
AWAY Jeju United
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
169 Passes 463
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu got the better of Jeju United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Daegu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Daegu had 32% of the ball to Jeju United's 68%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daegu and 0.67 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Jeju United?

Daegu 3-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Daegu 36%, draw 30%, Jeju United 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
3 May 2025
10:30 Daejeon Citizen vs Anyang Analysis →
13:00 Gangwon vs Suwon City Analysis →
13:00 FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →