Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.51/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.09
+29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 13.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 6-3 HT 3-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JPK
17.08.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
09.03.2014 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo edged past Montedio Yamagata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Consadole Sapporo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 47% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 2.67 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 27%, Consadole Sapporo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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