Oita Trinita 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +10%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.08
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses 18.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
28.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
13.05.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
25.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
1-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
145 Passes 520
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Roasso Kumamoto 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Oita Trinita made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 27% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 73%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.17 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Oita Trinita 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 38%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oita Trinita), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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