Vegalta Sendai 3-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.42
-13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 21.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 278
60% Pass Accuracy 54%
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.05.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
28.10.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
18.06.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
30.07.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-2 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.04.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
338 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai saw off Renofa Yamaguchi 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 52% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.17 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Vegalta Sendai 3-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 45%, draw 24%, Renofa Yamaguchi 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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