Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.08/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-22% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 375
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
18.06.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
30.07.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-2 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.04.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 49% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 51%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 41%, draw 29%, Renofa Yamaguchi 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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