Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.43/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
388 Passes 319
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-2 HT 0-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
04.06.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
24.09.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.02.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
23.11.2013 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
06.04.2013 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-2
AWAY Oita Trinita
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita squeezed past Ventforet Kofu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ventforet Kofu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 44% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 56%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.17 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Oita Trinita?

Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 45%, draw 24%, Oita Trinita 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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