V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
2-2 HT 0-1
Blaublitz Akita
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Blaublitz Akita — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.95
+4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
22.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-2 HT 4-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
25.06.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
17.04.2022 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
22.08.2021 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
05.05.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Blaublitz Akita — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-2
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Blaublitz Akita shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 62% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 38%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 0.83 for Blaublitz Akita.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Blaublitz Akita in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 42%, draw 26%, Blaublitz Akita 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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