Fujieda MYFC 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.29
+53% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.10.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 5-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
28.05.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC squeezed past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Fujieda MYFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 58% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 42%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 0.50 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Fujieda MYFC 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 39%, draw 26%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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