Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

Roasso Kumamoto
2-2 HT 1-0
Kagoshima United
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roasso Kumamoto v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.19/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.82
-13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
31.10.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
20.03.2021 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
07.11.2020 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 4-1 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3

Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
2-2
AWAY Kagoshima United
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto and Kagoshima United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 52% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 48%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 2.33 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?

Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 39%, draw 27%, Kagoshima United 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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