Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.22/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
375 Passes 328
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
28.10.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
18.06.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
30.07.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-2 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.04.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
182 Passes 180
54% Pass Accuracy 60%
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai squeezed past Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Vegalta Sendai made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 53% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.40 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Vegalta Sendai?

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 28%, Vegalta Sendai 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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