Iwaki 0-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 29%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.11/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.25
-29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
05.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
23.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
271 Passes 106
65% Pass Accuracy 42%
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Tochigi SC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Iwaki had 62% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 38%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Iwaki and 0.33 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Tochigi SC?

Iwaki 0-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 41%, draw 29%, Tochigi SC 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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