ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Sep 2024

ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2-3 HT 1-2
Roasso Kumamoto
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Roasso Kumamoto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.42
-32% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.5 Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
235 Passes 661
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
05.07.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
03.05.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 5-1 HT 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.07.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
15.03.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2-3
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
212 Passes 615
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roasso Kumamoto as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 30% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 70%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 2.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%, draw 24%, Roasso Kumamoto 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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