Ehime FC 1-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.64
2-3 Goals
45%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.98/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.81
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY JEF United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 JEF United JEF United 7-1 HT 5-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
18.09.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
07.03.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
04.11.2020 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
12.09.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
04.10.2015 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
1-2
AWAY JEF United
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
175 Passes 258
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past Ehime FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 47% of the ball to JEF United's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ehime FC and 2.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs JEF United?

Ehime FC 1-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 28%, draw 24%, JEF United 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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