Tochigi SC 0-1 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -73% / -73%
0.88/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.93
-11% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
23.04.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
0-1
AWAY Iwaki
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki edged past Tochigi SC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 49% of the ball to Iwaki's 51%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Iwaki?

Tochigi SC 0-1 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 24%, draw 28%, Iwaki 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
28 Apr 2024
07:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
08:00 Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →