Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokushima Vortis v Montedio Yamagata — Team-Based Signals
Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Tokushima Vortis
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
3-0
HT 1-0
Tokushima Vortis
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-1
Tokushima Vortis
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP2
Tokushima Vortis 2-1 Montedio Yamagata — Actual Match Statistics
Tokushima Vortis edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Montedio Yamagata at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 50% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 50%, shots finished 18-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.83 for Montedio Yamagata.
What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata?
Tokushima Vortis 2-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Montedio Yamagata?
Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 29%, draw 27%, Montedio Yamagata 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.