Kagoshima United 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 28 Apr 2024

Kagoshima United
0-1 HT 0-1
Renofa Yamaguchi
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.05/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.44
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
413 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
The Meetings
20.10.2019 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2

Kagoshima United 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi squeezed past Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Renofa Yamaguchi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 52% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 33%, draw 29%, Renofa Yamaguchi 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5
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