Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.21/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
-12% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
13.05.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
25.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
14.05.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
13.09.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-2
AWAY Oita Trinita
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Oita Trinita found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 45% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.50 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 39%, draw 28%, Oita Trinita 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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