Oita Trinita 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.90/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.90
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
13.05.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
25.06.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
14.05.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-2 HT 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
2-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Roasso Kumamoto 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Oita Trinita made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 49% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 51%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.33 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Oita Trinita 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 33%, draw 28%, Roasso Kumamoto 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
11 Aug 2024
12:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →