Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.06
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
01.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
17.06.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
23.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
27.04.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
15.11.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-0
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata nicked a narrow win over Tokushima Vortis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 43% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 57%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.83 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?

Montedio Yamagata 1-0 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 37%, draw 27%, Tokushima Vortis 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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