Kagoshima United 1-2 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2025

Kagoshima United
1-2 HT 0-0
Nara Club
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Kagoshima United vs Nara Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Nara Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -7%
1.53/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 10.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kagoshima United vs Nara Club Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nara Club
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
03.06.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3

Kagoshima United 1-2 Nara Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-2
AWAY Nara Club
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
239 Passes 292
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club nicked a narrow win over Kagoshima United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kagoshima United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 44% of the ball to Nara Club's 56%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.50 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Nara Club?

Kagoshima United 1-2 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 48%, draw 25%, Nara Club 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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