Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 Kochi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kochi United EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.20/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.50/1.51
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
462 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.2 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3-2
AWAY Kochi United
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
203 Passes 76
66% Pass Accuracy 44%
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kochi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki squeezed past Kochi United 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 62% of the ball to Kochi United's 38%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kochi United?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 Kochi United in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kochi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41%, draw 26%, Kochi United 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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